The very highly regarded American Research Group (ARG) released
polling data today from our great state and the numbers provide a very
fascinating picture. No matter what happens on August 11, we're headed
for a tremendous fall and winter here in Iowa. Surely, the Straw Poll
will end the campaigns of some of our Republican friends. However, the
post straw poll world could be just as fascinating. Here's the
Republican numbers. The sample was 600 and the margin of error was
(+/-4). The polling data provides some interesting news. First of all,
Giuliani and McCain have both scored solid bounce backs of 4 points
whereas Romney loses 4 points. Fred Thompson also lost a point and the
undecided figure also jumped up a point. This is all from their June
numbers. None of the lower tiered candidates were able to sufficiently
make any real progress and even some lost some traction.

Labels: polling, straw_poll